Friday, June 16, 2017

Game Theory; Trump will seek to fire not only Mueller but also Rosenstein & Buentes

'This', the orderly removal of Donald Trump was never going to go down easy or fast. For the faint of heart the Trump Presidency and its core support in Congress is nothing else but an ongoing coup d'etat. Remember what Bannon said: that their goal is "the deconstruction of the administrative state”, and this at CPAC:
"If they think they are going to give you your country back without a fight, you are mistaken. Every day, it is going to be a fight."
Outside of government the core base of Trump is primarily made up through a coalition of domestic "Conservatives Without Conscience",  (thank you @JohnWDean), which he identifies the conservative mindset:

  • Viciousness towards anyone or any group with the gumption to challenge and disagree with them.
  • Opaque deference to racial, gender and ethnic bigotry. 
  • Policies favoring Big Business 
  • Indifference or worse governing actions opposed to individual liberty and equality
  • Using psychological warfare (psy-ops) seeking a false moral superiority yet fiscally corruption of the Republican Party 
  • All conflated into an allegiance to domineering, demagoguery political personalities 

In his book, Dean back in 2006, feared that this Right Wing Authoritarianism was leading the USA toward an American version of fascism. Right Wing Authoritarianism (RWA) identified by Robert Altemeyer, Professor at the University of Manitoba, in his seminal political science research published in Right-wing Authoritarianism (1981) and his more recent follow up The Authoritarians (2006). What Altemeyer found was pegged at between where:
"20-25% of Adult Americans, are vulnerable to a demagogue who would incite hatred of minorities to gain power." (Link)
Now at Day 146 of the Trump Administration the AP reports  in its recent poll, 64% of Americans have a unfavorable view of President Trump, while 35% favorably like his presidency. One could interpret that in the favorable pool, 16% state they strongly approve which could project comprise mostly of the domestic fascists, while 18% somewhat. So don't hold your breath as the bottom is somewhere between 20% and 25% where deep partisan Republicans fuse with fascists who align or register as GOP, nice company. When Nixon resigned on August 8, 1974 he registered 22% in the Gallup Poll.

This is where we are  as we all face the threshold of American Fascism taking control. Fascism is not reserved just for foreign nations be it in Europe, (Italy, Germany, Spain, Yugoslavia, Hungary, Romania or RUSSIA) as in other continents of the world, Africa, South America and Asia. The only two continents that currently are without current of past fascist regimes is Australia and North America, for now. Fascism is a modern derivative of extreme nationalism, fueled by racism and is a national cultural and political revolution of the political Right with its own ideologies with the goal towards a forceful reordering of society seeking a projected utopia. And if you know your history fascism in the United States was a discussed subject even in 1944 when America was fighting the Axis Powers made up of Nazi Germany, Fascist Italy and Imperial Japan. An article by then Vice-President Henry Wallace published an article in the NY Times:  “The Danger of American Fascism,” which
..."described a breed of super-nationalist who pursues political power by deceiving Americans and playing to their fears, but is really interested only in protecting his own wealth and privilege...warning about hucksters spouting populist themes but manipulating people and institutions to achieve the opposite. They pretend to be on the side of ordinary working people — “paying lip service to democracy and the common welfare,” he wrote. But at the same time, they “distrust democracy because it stands for equal opportunity... invariably put “money and power ahead of human beings. “They demand free enterprise, but are the spokesmen for monopoly and vested interest.” They also “claim to be super-patriots, but they would destroy every liberty guaranteed by the Constitution. They bloviate about putting America first, but it’s just a cover. “They use isolationism as a slogan to conceal their own selfish imperialism.”
"They need scapegoats and harbor “an intensity of intolerance toward those of other races, parties, classes, religions, cultures, regions or nations.” 
He, "acknowledged the great difference between American fascists and other countries’ murderous authoritarians. The American breed doesn’t need violence. Lying to the people is so much easier.
They “poison the channels of public information,” he wrote. Their “problem is never how best to present the truth to the public but how best to use the news to deceive the public” into giving them more money or power.
Sounds almost Nostradamus like.

Most insidious is that fascism in all modern societies consider itself a democracy movement while simultaneously rejecting representative forms of government. Fascism among all things needs a supreme, charismatic leader to give its revolutionary movement its sharp focus, a living symbol of the nation, its ideals and Utopian direction, in all cases Dystopia in reality. The result in all fascist regimes is that previous democracy institutions are co-opted by RWA forces where then a legal degeneration ensues in line for rule of the supreme leader and single party system. This concept of degeneration attacks the neo-liberal concepts of rule of law, with its decency and natural laws of tolerance and individual freedoms, but fascism changes the concepts of tolerance and freedom to fit their own worldviews. Tolerance and freedoms are only available within their communities of RWA revolution, and it must be intolerant of those who oppose them, there is no reciprocity. Therefore everything must be on their own terms. Enough of the political science lesson but I believe this is critical to understand what the future entails.

So throughout this week starting on Tuesday with NewsMax's CEO Christopher Ruddy, a close personal friend of Donald Trump, stating on PBS that the President is considering firing Robert Mueller, Special Counsel. This was a stunning development less than 30 days after his appointment, 38 days from the firing of Comey. On the following day, Deputy AG Rod Rosenstein stated that only he could legally fire Mueller and that would require 'cause'. Thursday, brought the press bombshell with Washington Post story stating of what I have been told privately for months, that Trump is under investigation, as well as, his entire entourage and team and Mueller's investigations were widening.
"The special counsel overseeing the investigation into Russia’s role in the 2016 election is interviewing senior intelligence officials as part of a widening probe that now includes an examination of whether President Trump attempted to obstruct justice, officials said.
The move by special counsel Robert S. Mueller III to investigate Trump’s conduct marks a major turning point in the nearly year-old FBI investigation, which until recently focused on Russian meddling during the presidential campaign and on whether there was any coordination between the Trump campaign and the Kremlin. Investigators have also been looking for any evidence of possible financial crimes among Trump associates, officials said."
Then today, the adjacent tweet appeared on the transom Friday, President Trump tweets an official statement that only appears to telegraph another Saturday Night Massacre redux.







That statement quickly elicited a response from Senator Feinstein and Congressman Schiff both ranking members of congressional committee's investigating Russian interference in the 2016 election where collusion and corruption with Trump's campaign is alleged.
So this takes us to the eve of Saturday, June 17th. Rod Rosenstein it is reported that he might have to recuse himself due to the speculation that is a witness to a potential crime---meaning obstruction in the firing of James Comey (ABC NEWS).

It is now my opinion and judgment that Trump has no choice but employ a scorched earth effort to turn the Department of Justice on its ear in an effort in his mind to save his infantile and failing presidency, and possibly this family and entire team.

What would ensue is not unlike what Nixon did, demanding that Rosenstein fire Mueller, Rosenstein then refuses stating there is no cause, where then Trump orders Sessions to fire Rosenstein. Then the baton goes to Rachel Brand, the Associate Attorney General who has a number of political and statutory conflicts where her official duty is that she is charged with ongoing counterespionage investigations within the Justice Department. She could fire Mueller and face the onslaught of political and legal heat, or herself, recuse herself, resign or be fired, conceivably for insubordination and disloyalty [to Trump].

My guess is that she tries to recuse herself but Trump and Sessions would still fire her if she isn't lock step, leaving the last option in succession at DOJ being Dana Boentes, the current US Attorney of Eastern Virginia District Court and at one time the acting Deputy AG and then, acting AG when Sally Yates was fired for warning of Flynn's lying. This all before Session was confirmed. Boentes is rumored to be involved in the investigations of Trump Team. My guess is that Boentes again refuses or recuses himself and he too is fired where because of Trump's firing of 44 US Attorney's back in March where he was one of the few who survived as no acting US Attorney the line of succession stops because the next in line is the US Attorney of Northern Illinois.

But then what? Mueller is not fired, unless Sessions goes radical and un-recuse's himself where then Mueller is finally fired. I don't think Cable News could keep up with the successions. Here is where the Congress will need to get some spine and pass a law for an independent prosecutor where it reappoints Mueller. And this will determine if we are over the threshold of fascism since Congress will have to overturn a Presidential Veto. That would require a 2/3's vote in both houses, 288 in the House and 67 in the Senate, or 93 Republicans would have to join 194 Democrats in the House and 15 Republican Senators join Democrats in the Senate. You know it would have been better if the Electoral College had stopped Trump back in December

I studied Game Theory in college when I had a semester long seminar in MAD, Mutual Assured Destruction conducted during the Cold War period in my college days from actual DOD personnel. Game Theory explained, is the use of mathematics and logic regarding competing forces where one presumption is that the actors are intelligent and/or rational, rational in a sense that the actor believes so not whether their opposition thinks they are rational. Game Theory was often used in the fields of economics, psychology, and of course, political science and now is utilized in the fields of computer games, computer science including data mining as well as biological research. Naturally assigning Game Theory suggests that Donald Trump's upcoming decisions or reactions is all about closing all investigations because it all leads to impeachment proceedings, which information in RUMINT suggest he is guilty of multiple crimes both as a private citizen and now President. His pattern of behaviors are very consistent, honed over the last fifty years and his options here are limited.

Back to the fascist revolution. All the legislation proposed by Trump and the Republicans reflect what John Dean saw in 2006. The immigration Executive Order, is racist nationalism, healthcare repeal and replace, tax reform are not about his electoral base but about his political agenda favoring Big Business and corrupt enrichment. His comments regarding representative government from the senate rules to the ideas like filibuster, obstructionism, fictional executive privilege, emoluments, waivers, communications, etc, is all fascism in reality. The question is how many domestic fascists are in the Congress. And there in lies the coup d'etat. That said once another DOJ Massacre takes place Trump will never see approval ratings (outside Fox sponsored) above 30% again, where he could fall below 22% when this is finally over.

If in fact the RUMINT is correct about the partnership of the Trump Team and the Russians as it pertains to the hacking and election colluding there also had to be partners in the Congress and states. Now as for more Game Theory, the wild card are the four other Eyes in the intelligence community, Canada, Great Britain, Australia, and New Zealand, plus the other NATO allies. When or if Mueller is fired and in between Congress's reaction I am projecting that a series of stunning intelligence releases will find the media permanently wounding the Trump Administration and possibly the Congressional leadership, leaving little choice for members of Congress to demand a full and independent investigation. This general pathway of totally exposing our once open government is the only way out of this, non partisan and fully venting. As I said back in December this is going to be messy, very very messy.

Sunday, June 4, 2017

The Great 2016 Conspiracy, it is the week it will be begin to be revealed.what do my elders say?

I recently asked my elders'; "Is this emerging, "Great 2016 Conspiracy", that is surrounding Trump's Presidency, with its 'laundry' list of connections to Russia, is it now becoming analogous to the historical events from another era  namely, 'The Great Depression' and World War II?" (99 Coincidences of Trump-Russia Connections)

Still alive and lucid, my elders were born on or near the moment in history when everything changed twice, first came 1929's, Black Tuesday's Wall Street Crash. followed ten years later with World War II. They are living survivor's of that time, now in their late 80's or early to mid 90's, they grew up and lived through those events that stretched for over 16 years, challenging their ordinary lives each day. It was an unprecedented period of time with wholesale death and destruction, tearing at practically every social institution across Europe and America Through the succeeding years most remained silent about much of their personal ordeals, it is why they are labeled the 'Silent Generation'. But now they offer great wisdom if you ask. 

Today as I am reaching my own senior status, a member of the 'Boomer Generation', I inquired whether as a nation we are looking at a similar historical benchmark that compares to those events of the 1930's? They were both responsive and greatly concerned, their faces said much more than their words for they know the misery that comes with these historical upheavals. What I noticed is that their normal partisan perspective's seemed to be immediately shed, as they pointed to the simple comparison of the 1929 Crash to the recent 2008 Meltdown. The effects of each of those calamities brought about different real life affects as a matter of degree, but the reality, both brought on great hardships to the ordinary, hard working, moral citizens that make up most of America. They are the the ones that lost much of what they had worked hard cobbling together in a lifetime. Instead of a quarter of the population being destitute like in the 1930's, many Americans now simply hve become permanently wounded financially. This effect cannot be denied and had a deep effect on the psyche of the nation that was exploited in the last election. As one elder put it, it is not about assigning blame, only to know the reality that it had a deep political effect that now fascists took opportunity.

As one peers into the forgotten history of the 1930's there were many great conspiracies that were afoot underneath the political veneer's in both in Europe and the U.S. Here in the U.S. soon after the revolutionary political victory of Franklin Roosevelt, there emerged a potential coup, known as the Business Plot. Even though General Butler who testified in Congress, alleging that wealthy businessmen had approached him were plotting to create a fascist government, many back then dismissed that notion. It even included Charles Lindbergh. Historians are unsure whether the coup was actually close to being executed, but a consensus has been established through research indicating some kind of "wild scheme was contemplated and discussed" to overthrow President Franklin Roosevelt; (The Corporate State and the Broker State). 

Another comparison that was made is that there was a real conspiracy between Nazi Germany and Soviet Russia, (Hitler and Stalin), as to the invasion of Poland. Officially known as the Ribbentrop-Molotov Pact, it assured Germany that the Soviet Union would not counterattack if the Nazi's invaded Poland. Details of the secret plan were:
"The nonaggression pact of August 23 contained a secret protocol that provided for the partition of Poland and the rest of eastern Europe into Soviet and German spheres of interest. In accordance with this plan, the Soviet army occupied and annexed eastern Poland in the autumn of 1939."
That event of September 1939 ushered in World War II, which involved more than 100 million people worldwide involving over thirty nations, an estimated 50 to 80 million persons perishing, most were non combatants, and it was simply described as the bloodiest and deadliest conflict in human history. Following that unprecedented human tragedy the world led by the United States, we established new social and societal institutions, founded on democracy and rule of law. It also established a hardened military alliance countering totalitarian nations in a long period that became known as the Cold War. Too many this history is as far away as TV Land's old reruns, but it worked, imperfect as humans are, the objective was always to prevent a third World War.

Now some 78 years later, there are growing accusations that a Great Global Conspiracy between Russia and Donald J. Trump elected the 45th President of the United States of America. Together with the Republican Party this partnership colluded to "steal" the 2016 election to benefit both Putin's Russia and Trump's cronies. Some are making a strong case that this conspiracy can be traced back into the 1990's, that we shall see. A Special Counsel has been appointed, led by former FBI Director, Robert Mueller, his legal forces within Justice and the FBI's counterintelligence section, plus the rest of the U.S. and its Five Eyes partners plus NATO and other intelligence forces are beginning its legal and constitutional assault on this Great 2016 Conspiracy, less than 150 days into Trump's Administration.

It will not be like a television version of Law and Order, where a complicated investigation and subsequent prosecution in less an hour, all for entertainment viewing. This might take another 12-24 months to unravel, possibly longer to conclude, longer than Watergate which took 22 months. And at least that will probably be the Trump-Russia segment, most likely include a series of impeachments or resignations, most likely leading to criminal proceedings entailing such allegations as RICO, espionage, money and data laundering, fraud, hacking, perjury, false report and obstruction. Accompanying this unparalleled, even bizarre American historical event, will be the trials concerning the private and foreign culprits and accessories to the Great 2016 Conspiracy within America's political parties, both major and minor, as well as those associated PAC's and private citizens. This will also include domestic infiltrators of Russian agents and then move on to foreign adversaries. If what I have been told by intelligence community actors, investigative reporters, lawyers, politicos, system and IT professionals and what not, this will emerge as the greatest political scandal of all time.

In its wake, we as a nation, plus the rest of world free governments, will have to build a better governing and social regulatory institutional apparatus to manage global Internet communications, intrusions, hacking, money laundering, data manipulation, privacy, individual sovereignty and information and secure the functions of democracy. What this Great 2016 Conspiracy is among all things, is a comprehensive global assault on the hearts and minds of citizens in Western democracies', their vulnerabilities to using sophisticated psychological warfare, psy ops measures, if you will, through a maize of Internet and communication tools, plus the added capability, of secret hacking and corrupting election and data machines. Unlike war planes attacking from the sky this invisible warfare went on veiled, unchecked, unregulated and all within the U.S., possibly for years, seemingly a partnership between a growing domestic fascist movement and the KGB-fascist Russians. Both who sought to radically reorder Western democracies into a new world order of corrupt oligarchies. This is not hyperbole but a clinical observation of facts that each day are being revealed.

When this was discussed, my elders, they did not immediately discount the seemingly fantastic or outlandish nature of a Great 2016 Conspiracy. They had experienced this once before, yes as children and high school students, part of  or just following America's "Greatest Generation", an era pegged Strauss and Howe, ( Fourth Turning), Those who followed World War II as young adults were labeled members of the "Silent Generation".  These elders nearing the final years of remarkable lives, witnessed and participated in a foundation of historical measures are now resigned that something is terribly wrong. That America will have to face its music with resolve and righteousness, and resurrect itself.

So this event, more than scandal:
The scandal that has no name is unspooling like a police procedural in congressional hearings and news stories...Politico
As a nation we about to embark with historic Congressional testimony continuing with Asst Attorney General Rod Rosenstein on Wednesday, then followed by the much anticipated testimony of the former FBI Director, James Comey Thursday. Leading up to this are comments from our Congressional leaders starting with Senator Al Franken, ironically one of the most understated politicians, a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee, who beforehand this year cornered his former colleague Jeff Sessions, the current Attorney General, of lying to the nation during Session's confirmation hearing, Sen. Franken said last week,
"everything points to collusion between President Donald Trump's campaign and the Russians...My feeling is that there was some cooperation between the Trump campaign and the Russians. I think everything points to that,"
Trump's Administration are acting very suspicious he said to CNN,
"My gut tells me they do, because they aren't acting like people that don't have anything to hide. We will see.". 
Senator Lindsay Graham, a Republican, was quoted in the NY Post
 "it’s clear that after Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein briefed the Senate on the investigation into Russian involvement in the presidential election that it has become a criminal probe.
'The shock to the body is that this is now a criminal investigation,' Graham (R-SC) told reporters moments after he exited the Senate chamber.
He said now that it has become a criminal investigation instead of an counterintelligence probe Congress may be impeded in carrying out its own examinations."
Congressman Elijah Cummings has stated on CNN said that, "at its core, the investigation is about "the soul of our democracy."

Congressman Adam Schiff has stated:
"There is more than circumstantial evidence now." Continuing; "But I will say there is evidence that is not circumstantial," Schiff said, "and it is very much worthy of investigation."
Schiff's comments echo a CNN report published Wednesday evening that cited unnamed US officials who told the network the FBI had information indicating people associated with Trump may have coordinated with suspected Russian operatives on the release of information damaging to Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.
This does not include recent reports in the main stream media outlets about investigations regarding Trump's son-in-law,  Eric Kushner, along with the likes of almost the entire Trump Team; Manafort, Cohen, Flynn, Stone, Giuliani, Epshteyn, Sessions, Nunes, even Speaker Ryan and Senator McConnell. There seems to be a feeding frenzy of journalistic sharks where Breaking News practically comes across the transom every evening. The details that already have seen the light of day by citizen journalists like Louise Mensch in her Patribotics Blog, where among many others states; That Donald Trump is already under a sealed indictment which is in front of the House Judiciary Committee under investigation for Impeachment.

John Schindler in his column in the on line magazine, The Observer (recently owned by Kushner), reports that Admiral Rogers of the NSA told his entire NSA employee base that:
“There is no question that we have evidence of election involvement and questionable contacts with the Russians.” 
Where he further reports that:
"...now that the Justice Department has appointed Robert Mueller special counsel charged with running the Russia investigation, NSA is apparently pulling out all the stops to track down any additional evidence which might be relevant to the expanded inquiry into KremlinGate."
 Many people I talk to willing to engage about this Great 2016 Conspiracy, initially would reject the notion this is a grand conspiracy, now seeing it unfold in front of their eyes, voice wonderment how could this be happening? My elders offer a guide post of this reaction. One said, most if not all except for the few, don't want to pay attention when this kind of life disruption fostered by fantastic evil designs, suddenly emerges, affecting their own, self-important ordinary lives. The younger generations will have to learn that evil effects all of us. One recalled the initial disbelief of Germany attacking France, after they didn't care about Poland, where then the German's almost annihilated the British Army in 1940. They recall the cries that we cannot enter that war, it is for Europe to work out. Then a year later the Japanese attacked many still were remained in disbelief, while others acted. Like my uncle who enlisted in December 1941. He went to fight the Japanese in the Aleutians, fighting to keep volcanic outcroppings near the Bering Strait. Shock and dismay are common when extraordinary events take place challenging one's failure to imagine the designs of evil fostered by unfettered greed.

Unfortunately as this Great 2016 Conspiracy goes forward, we as a nation must allow the full measure of knowing what happened and who is responsible so we can save the soul of our democracy. In 1974 we failed when Nixon was pardoned before his torturous trials that should have been. My sage family friend, Justice Prentice Marshall expressed that a pre-pardon would lead to a slippery slope where the nation would revisit another scandal far worse than Watergate, there can be no man above the law in a democracy. So pay attention this week. Understand that for America to be America once again, we must go through this difficult, wrenching period rooting out traitors and our domestic fascists as criminals they are. And only then can we go about rebuilding our democracy institutions while addressing the Russian-Putin international problem.